Weather Alert

Developing Storm: Snow To Increase in Coverage and Intensity After Midnight

A major Nor'easter now developing off the mid Atlantic coast will put eastern New York and western New England on its western side through Tuesday.  Snow will become steadier from SE to NW across the region after midnight and towards daybreak Tuesday with snowfall of varying intensity through Tuesday evening.  A gusty NNW wind from 20-30 mph at times will cause blowing and drifting of the very dry snow creating poor visibility and hazardous travel conditions into Tuesday night. General Storm accumulations in the Capital Region of 8"-14" are expected.


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Meteorologist: Steve LaPointe
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Last Updated: Monday, January 26, 2015 4:13:46 PM
A strong clipper low pressure system moving through Kentucky as of this update is transfering to a secondary coastal storm which is now developing well off the mid Atlantic coast. This secondary storm will rapidly intensify later tonight through Tuesday as it moves north to a postion southeast of Cape Cod and the Islands. This storm could then stall for a short time and possibly loop near southerastern New England before moving away Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. Eastern New York and western New England will be on the western edge of the Nor'easter which makes the snow accumulation forecast difficult as the location and behavior of the storm on Tuesday will determine if the zone of heavier snow makes it into the Hudson valley or if it stops short somewhere over New England. Regardless of how far west the heaviest snow band moves, snow will fly across the local area through at least Tuesday evening with locally moderate to heavy accumulations and very heavy accumulations over western New England.
Storm Departure.
It still is not yet clear if and for how long the storm could stall near Cape Cod and possibly do a loop. Thus, it's undetermined at this time when the snow will end. A more progressive storm would allow heavy snow to taper off locally through early Tuesday night. However, should the storm remain stalled for a longer period of time, snow of varying intensity could linger through late Tuesday night. Trends as of this update, however, are suggesting snow winding down locally between 7pm and midnight
Storm Accumulations.
There will be a sharp cut-off of the snow on the northern and western edge of the Nor'easter, which is typical of these types of storms. That cut-off will likely fall somewhere across eastern New York which continues to makes the call on amounts difficult and uncertain at this time. However, it continues to appear that the heaviest snowfall of 18"-22" will occur in Dutchess, far southern Berkshire, and Litchfield counties. 14"-18" amounts will be possible through the Mid Hudson valley, northern Berkshire County and much of Vermont. 8"-14" of snow at this time continues to appear possible in the eastern Catskills including eastern Schoharie County, the Capital Region, Lake George-Saratga Region and Washington County with 4"-8" of snow for the western Catskills, much of the Mohawk valley, dropping to 2"-4" for Herkimer and Hamkilton counties. Should a more eastward jog in the eventual storm track materialize, which is possible, the snowfall projections will need to be adjusted lower.
Travel - Temperature - Wind.
This is a cold storm with temperatures generally in the teens through its duration, which will lead to a very dry, light and fluffy snow which will be easy to move around by the wind. A NNW wind will increase late Monday night through Tuesday in gusts to 25-30 mph at times which will lead to blowing and drifting snow, reduced visibility and generally quite poor travel conditions, especially througyh Tuesday. Additionally from late Monday night through Tuesday snowfall rates of up to 3"/hour will be possible in the mid Hudson valley and western New England with rates at times from 1"-2" per hour into the Capital Region leading to poor visiblity in rapidly accumulating snow. Snowfall rates of generally under 1"/hour will be likely in the western Catskills, Mohawk valley and Adirondacks.

Click here for the Snow Accumulation Forecast

Click Here for the Latest NWS Advisories posted for this storm
This Evening:  Cloudy and cold.
Off and on nuisance light snow or snow showers.
Localized accumulations of an inch or less.
Wind: Northerly 5-10 mph
Sunset: 5:00 PM
Temps: Holding in the mid teens through 8pm
Tonight:  Snow increasing in coverage and intensity after midnight and especially towards daybreak Tuesday from SE to NW across the region.
Increasing wind late at night.
Wind: North, increasing to 10-20 mph, gusts to 25 mph
Sunrise:  7:14 AM
Low: Lower teens
Tomorrow:  Snow, moderate to heavy at times.
Blowing snow, with significant reductions in visibility.
Hazardous travel conditions.
Quite cold.
Wind: NNW 15-20 mph, gusts from 25-30 mph
Sunset: 5:02 PM
High: 15-20
Tomorrow Night:  Snow gradually tapering off to flurries.
Gusty wind.
Wind: NW 10-20 mph
Low: 5-10
Wednesday:  Flurries possible during the morning, otherwise generally dry.
Skies becoming mostly sunny.
Wind: NW 10 mph
High: Low to mid 20s
Thursday:  Morning sunshine giving way to increasing afternoon cloudiness.
A little less cold.
High: Upper 20s to around 30
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