Peter Pan Stakes Preview - 05/10/13
Peter Pan Stakes Preview
G-II Peter Pan
1 1/8 Miles, Belmont Park
We're back after a week hiatus. We here at The Chalk have spent the last few days licking our wounds after a disappointing Kentucky Derby, at least in our selections. Congratulations to those who had Golden Soul underneath, it was very profitable, I am sure. We will take a minor detour this weekend before ramping up our Preakness coverage come Monday. Saturday is the G-II Peter Pan at Belmont Park. It is for three year-olds and is the local prep race for the final leg of the triple crown, the Belmont Stakes on June 8.
A few also-rans from the Wood Memorial are running back here on Saturday with the likes of Freedom Child and Go Get The Basil. Neither was impressive that day and I think there are better horses in this Peter Pan field. The two Todd Pletcher trainees can impress here. Battier will be facing his toughest test, but has answered every question thus far. In six career starts he has not finished worse than second with four first place finishes. His morning line odds of 8-1 may not hold but he could be a decent value. The other Pletcher horse, Abraham finished fourth in the G-III Illinois Derby last time out. He lost ground down the stretch in that trip. He likes to run on the lead but has not been able to do that in his two graded stakes starts. Abraham should get to the front early. I think it will be him along with Freedom Child setting the pace, which could play into his style.
A few other intriguing horses in here are Saint Vigeur and Declan's Warrior. Saint Viguer will be making his second start off the layoff. Last time out he won an optional claimer at Saturday's distance, which is promising. Trainer Chad Brown is 29% second of a layoff. There are a lot of positives about this horse. Saint Viguer also closed very well last time out. As for Declan's Warrior, he will be stretching out for the first time after taking the G-III Bayshore last time out. I would be concerned about him getting the 1 1/8 miles but he has been training well and Nick Zito hits 20% of his first time routes.
There does not appear to be a ton of front running speed in here, as I mentioned above, Freedom Child and Abraham are the likely pace setters. It could be difficult for Declan's Warrior to overcome a slow pace if he is running from too far back.
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