Louisiana Derby Preview - 03/29/13

G II - Louisiana Derby

1 1/8 Miles, Fair Grounds


A few years back I took the trip down to New Orleans for the Louisiana Derby. Fair Grounds is a beautiful place with its all brick trackside patios and its magnolias in full bloom. I saw Drosselmeyer win that day. He went on to win the Belmont Stakes, as my sister and Louisiana Derby attendee predicted. 

A lot is being made about one of Todd Pletcher's horses in here, Revolutionary. I was at Aqueduct when this horse won The Whiters. That was an impressive ride because he got bumped and blocked and still managed to find a way to win. The best horses always do. But in here, I do not think he is the best horse, especially at the short price I suspect he will go off at. As CBS 6 anchor and fan of The Chalk, Ed O'Brien said recently, 'Palace Malice'. I tend to agree.

Pletcher's other horse ran a disappointing third in the Risen Star at Fair Grounds last month, but a jockey change to Edgar Prado might make the difference. It will be his third start off a layoff and he has been training well. All signs point to him firing on all cylinders. 

Revolutionary, I suspect will run well, do not get me wrong. He is a good horse, but I do not think the horses he faced in The Whiters are up to speed with what he will see here. 

Titletown Five will be the early pace setter along with Code West. If they set a crazy early pace it would be to their advantage in my opinion. There does not appear to be enough late pace in here, other than Revolutionary. Titletown Five will be stretching out for the first time and D. Wayne Lukas does not have the best track record in graded stakes. However, there are a lot of positive signs hanging around Code West and trainer Bob Baffert. He is worth an extra look. 

This is a full field of 14. Inside and middle post positions have an advantage.


Selections:

2 - 8 - 3 - 7 

 
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